Author: David Maina
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Top Prediction Market Platforms in 2026
Prediction markets have quietly moved from a niche internet curiosity to something researchers, economists, journalists, and policy analysts pay attention to. Not constantly. Nobody’s checking election probabilities while standing in line for coffee every morning. At least most people aren’t. But over the last few years, forecasting platforms have become increasingly visible. Partly because some…
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World Cup 2026: Biggest Surprises From the Group Stage So Far
The 2026 World Cup is still in its early stages, but it already feels a little less predictable than many people expected. That’s not unusual, exactly. Every tournament produces surprises. We say this every four years and then immediately act shocked when a heavily favored team drops points against an opponent most casual fans haven’t…
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Will Fuel Prices Increase in Kenya This Month?
Fuel Prices in Kenya: Will They Go Up This Month? It’s one of those questions that comes up quietly but often — maybe at a petrol station queue, or someone scrolling on their phone after seeing global oil headlines. Are fuel prices going up again? The short answer is: maybe. Slight bias toward an increase,…
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How Probability Works in Prediction Markets
There’s a weird thing about probability. People use it constantly but pretend they don’t. Someone says, “There’s no way fuel prices stay this low next month.” Another person insists their team is definitely winning on Sunday. Your aunt somehow predicts rain better than weather apps just by looking outside for fifteen seconds from the balcony.…
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Prediction Markets vs Betting: What’s the Difference?
There’s a funny thing that happens whenever prediction markets come up in conversation in Kenya. Someone usually says, “So basically betting?” Then another person says something about Aviator or Premier League accumulators and the discussion drifts off into odds and last-minute goals. It happens a lot. Probably because both systems involve uncertainty, probabilities, and people…
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What Are Prediction Markets? A Beginner’s Guide for Kenyans
Learn what prediction markets are, how they work, and how Kenyans can use them to forecast events and make smarter decisions. Prediction markets are one of the fastest-growing trends globally—but in Kenya, very few people fully understand how they work. In simple terms, a prediction market is a platform where people trade on the outcome…
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